Though the announcement of a given year’s Oscar nominations used to serve, appropriately, as the starting line for the awards race, these days it’s apt to feel more like a marker for the home stretch. The latest batch of nods is only first reaching the public this morning—announcing on ABC starting at 8:30 ET/5:30 PT—but this year’s race has been carrying on for months.

Months of categorizing Academy-friendly frontrunners (like Spotlight), dark horse fan favorites (like Mad Max: Fury Road), and surprising bow-outs (like Steve Jobs). Months of weighting the victories offered by smaller awards organizations in order to better predict who’ll inevitably take home Best Picture. And, of course, months of listening to endless chatter about how hard it was to make The Revenant.

Yes, it’s been a long race—almost as long as The Revenant, speaking of. Heck, some of us were getting into the spirit of things as early as the morning after last year’s ceremony. There’s no harm in feeding into your excitement, though we would recommend holding off on serious wagers until the year’s end. (To think I put so much money on Kevin Nash making it to the Best Supporting Actor short list for Magic Mike XXL… I really could have used that Powerball.)

But now that we’ve reached nomination day, even the most reticent of Oscar fans can offer up their predictions for show night victors. Check below as for live updates of the full list of nominees for the 88th Academy Awards. Let us know who you’re betting on to take home the trophies on February 28!

Best Picture
The Big Short
Bridge of Spies
Brooklyn
Mad Max: Fury Road
The Martian
The Revenant
Room
Spotlight

Lead Actress
Cate Blanchett, Carol
Brie Larson, Room
Jennifer Lawrence, Joy
Charlotte Rampling, 45 Years
Saoirse Ronan, Brooklyn

Lead Actor
Bryan Cranston, Trumbo
Matt Damon, The Martian
Leonardo DiCaprio, The Revenant
Michael Fassbender, Steve Jobs
Eddie Redmayne, The Danish Girl

Directing
Adam McKay, The Big Short
George Miller, Mad Max: Fury Road
Alejandro G. Iñárritu, The Revenant
Lenny Abrahamson, Room
Thomas McCarthy, Spotlight

Supporting Actress
Jennifer Jason Leigh, The Hateful Eight
Rooney Mara, Carol
Rachel McAdams, Spotlight
Alicia Vikander, The Danish Girl
Kate Winslet, Steve Jobs

Supporting Actor
Christian Bale, The Big Short
Tom Hardy, The Revenant
Mark Ruffalo, Spotlight
Mark Rylance, Bridge of Spies
Sylvester Stallone, Creed

Screenplay – Adapted
The Big Short
Brooklyn
Carol
The Martian
Room

Screenplay – Original
Bridge of Spies
Ex Machina
Inside Out
Spotlight
Straight Outta Compton

Score
Bridge of Spies
Carol
The Hateful Eight
Sicario
Star Wars: The Force Awakens

Foreign Language Film
Embrace of the Serpent
Mustang
Son of Saul
Theeb
A War

Visual Effects
Ex Machina
Mad Max
The Martian
The Revenant
Star Wars: The Force Awakens

Film Editing
The Big Short
Mad Max: Fury Road
The Revenant
Spotlight
Star Wars: The Force Awakens

Production Design
Bridge of Spies
The Danish Girl
Mad Max: Fury Road
The Martian
The Revenant

Cinematography
Carol
The Hateful Eight
Mad Max: Fury Road
The Revenant
Sicario

Documentary – Feature
Amy
Cartel Land
The Look of Silence
What Happened, Miss Simone
Winter on Fire: Ukraine’s Fight for Freedom

Documentary – Short
Body Team
Chau, Beyond the Lines
Claude Lanzmann: Spectres of Shoah
A Girl in the River: The Price of Forgiveness
Last Day of Freedom

Sound Editing
Mad Max: Fury Road
The Martian
The Revenant
Sicario
Star Wars: The Force Awakens

Sound Mixing
Bridge of Spies
Mad Max: Fury Road
The Martian
The Revenant
Star Wars: The Force Awakens

Costume Design
Carol
Cinderella
The Danish Girl
Mad Max: Fury Road
The Revenant

Hair and Makeup
Mad Max: Fury Road
The 100-Year-Old Man Who Climbed Out a Window and Disappeared
The Revenant

Live Action – Short
Ave Maria
Day One
Everything Will Be Okay
Shok
Stutter

Animated Short
Bear Story
Prologue
Sanjay’s Super Team
We Can’t Leave without Cosmos
World of Tomorrow

Animated Feature
Anomalisa
Boy and the World
Inside Out
Shaun the Sheep Movie
When Marnie Was There

Original Song
“Earned It,” Fifty Shades of Grey
“Manta Ray,” Racing Extinction
“Simple Song #3,” Youth
“‘Til It Happens to You,” The Hunting Ground
“Writing’s on the Wall,” Spectre

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Image: Warner Bros.